Monday, October 13, 2008

Fearless Canadian federal election prediction

Based on a review of recent polls, I am predicting that Canadians will re-elect a minority Harper government based the following forecast party seat total results following tomorrow's vote count. The Liberals stand to lose the most seats. It appears Harper's crime and culture policies will reinforce the BQ's Quebec coalition to prevent Harper a majority by building on the Quebec beach-head the CPC established last election. Harper should however improve his seat total in Ontario (outside the 416) tho, thanks to the NDP siphoning off traditional Grit support. Look for the NDP popular vote level to be closer to the Grits' level than the Grits tally is to the CPC total.

my prediction
CPC 135
LIB 83
NDP 36
BQ 53
OTHER 1

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